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Links Writing

To What Extent is China’s Control of Information a Cyber Weakness?

Lawfare has a good piece on How China’s control of information is a cyber weakness:

“Policymakers need to be aware that successful competition in cyberspace depends on having intrinsic knowledge of the consequences a democratic or authoritarian mode of government has for a country’s cyber defense. Western leaders have for a long time prioritized security of physical infrastructure. This might translate into better cyber defense capabilities, but it leaves those governments open to information operations. At the same time, more authoritarian-leaning countries may have comparative advantages when it comes to defending against information operations but at the cost of perhaps being more vulnerable to cyber network attack and exploitation. Authoritarian governments may tolerate this compromise on security due to their prioritization of surveillance and censorship practices.

I have faith that professionals in the intelligence community have previously assessed this divide between what democracies have developed defences against versus what countries like China have prepared against. Nonetheless this is a helpful summary of the two sides of the coin.

I’m less certain of a subsequent argument made in the same piece:

These diverging emphases on different aspects of cybersecurity by democratic and authoritarian governments are not new. However, Western governments have put too much emphasis on the vulnerability of democracies to information operations, and not enough attention has been dedicated to the vulnerability of authoritarian regimes in their cyber defenses. It is crucial for democratic governments to assess the impact of information controls and regime security considerations in authoritarian-leaning countries for their day-to-day cyber operations.”

I really don’t think that intelligence community members in the West are ignorant of the vulnerabilities that may be present in China or other authoritarian jurisdictions. While the stories in Western media emphasize how effective foreign operators are extracting data from Western companies and organizations, intelligence agencies in the Five Eyes are also deeply invested in penetrating strategically and tactically valuable digital resources abroad. One of the top-line critiques against the Five Eyes is that they have invested heavily on offence over defence, and the article from Lawfare doesn’t really ever take that up. Instead, and inaccurately to my mind, it suggests that cyber defence is something done with a truly serious degree of resourcing in the Five Eyes. I have yet to find someone in the intelligence community that would seriously assert a similar proposition.

One thing that isn’t assessed in the article, and which would have been interesting to see considered, is the extent(s) to which the relative dearth of encryption in China better enables their defenders to identify and terminate exfiltration of data from their networks. Does broader visibility into data networks enhance Chinese defenders’ operations? I have some doubts, but it would be curious to see the arguments for and against that position.

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Quotations

The Escalatory Ladder and Cyberspace

If anything, what [Bytes, Bombs and Spies] points out is how little value you can get from traditional political-science terms and concepts. Escalatory ladder makes little sense with a domain where a half-decade of battlefield preparation and pre-placement are required for attacks, where attacks have a more nebulous connection to effect, deniability is a dominant characteristic, and where intelligence gathering and kinetic effect require the same access and where emergent behavior during offensive operations happens far beyond human reaction time.

Dave Aitel, There is no Escalatory Ladder in the Matrix
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Links Writing

Public and private sector companies vulnerable to Sony-like attacks

Public and private sector companies vulnerable to Sony-like attacks :

Christopher Parsons, the managing director of a telecom transparency project in The Citizen Lab at the University of Toronto, said agrees with Tobok; it’s not enough for companies to leave digital security to their designated IT employees or mid-level management.

“It’s an increasingly serious issue; companies not treating it at the top do so at their own peril.”

Bigger security breaches are a reality of a more digitally-literate world, Parsons said.

“If you’re dealing with a well-resourced attacker with lots of time, there’s a reasonable chance they will find some way through.”

That’s why companies also need to invest in a strong remediation strategy in case an attack does occur, he said.

I should be particularly emphatic on one point: the hack of Sony does not constitute ‘cyberwar’. To begin, the very definition of the term is ambiguous at best. Moreover, the attack on a non-critical-systems company cannot be understood as an assault on critical infrastructure systems (e.g. dams, power grids, etc) that could be interpreted as an undeclared war-like action. What has happened to Sony is a corporate tragedy and one for the textbooks on remediation and mitigation strategies. To be clear: this is a lesson for business and security textbooks, not military strategy textbooks.

Claims that the attacks on Sony are some kind of ‘warlike’ behaviour operate on the assumption that we can attribute who is responsible for the attacks. We are unable to so ascribe action at the moment. And until the NSA or the other SIGINT agencies pull stuff from their bags of tricks to more positively establish a link between the attacks on Sony and a specific nation-state threat actor with obvious war-based intentionality, any calls that we are witnessing some kind of ‘cyberwar’ are ill-considered at best, and outright ignorant at worst.

Or, alternately, such calls might constitute efforts on the parts of those with Top Secret/Special Compartmentalized information to raise awareness about some kind of ‘behind the scenes’ action. I strongly doubt those calling the Sony attacks cyberwar have access to such kinds of deeply sensitive operational, and classified, information. But perhaps I’m wrong. And, if I am, I hope they’re leaking with authorization or have particularly terrific counsel to defend them against allegations of leaking classified information.